Posts Tagged ‘forex’

Eur/usd 1975-2009 excel 15 day moving averages trading system

Saturday, September 4th, 2010

I have taken data from eur/usd from 1975 to 2009 and added the 15 day moving averages with buy and sell signals in the excel spread sheet trading system that you can download for free below .

If you want to analyze other data, just remove the data below the close value, and put your data below that row. Historically( 1975-2009) this system will give you profit. But the down side with moving averages is that you will not profit in sideways markets. The advantage of using moving averages is that you will profit from any big trend.

This system is really simple. Buy if the 15 day moving average is below the close, Sell if the 15 day moving average is above the close price.

( I have used excel 2003, so you probably need that to run it ( ore a higher office version), if you don`t have office excel you can get a free trial at Microsoft.com. (You can also use the free alternative OpenOffice) ( The picture is a screen shot from the spreadsheet)

Operating system: Microsoft office excel/ openoffice

Price: Free

Download Now

An Overview on Meta Trader Expert Advisor

Monday, May 3rd, 2010

Are you a beginner trader who just started to invest in Forex trading? Well, if you are, then you will want to equip yourself with a meta trader expert advisor to aid you in trading. What is meta trader expert advisor?

Basically, it is a type of software, also known as robot, consists of several mathematical algorithms that are able to analyze the market trend and give profitable predictions. Just for your information, it is written using MQL4 language (Meta Quotes Programming Language Version 4). Generally, it can serve as a platform for many trading tools such as indicators and expert advisors.

As a matter of fact, an indicator differs from an expert instructor. An indicator merely gives you indication on the trend in the market. On the other hand, an expert coach gives you notification on the trend as well as the action to be taken. Simply put, the expert instructor aids you in decision making. As you know, human emotions are easily affected by unwanted elements such as fear, stress and anger. Thus, making a decision in times of emotionally unstable has been proven fatal.

Nevertheless, an expert advisor is obviously emotion-free and better in decision making. You might be wondering why use an indicator if we can have an expert coach. In fact, if you are an experienced trader, you will want to make your own decisions. In addition, you might have your own trading strategies that you are certain of making profit. However, indicators are only suitable for short term trading. You should use an expert advisor as a guide for long term trading.

Moreover, with the help of meta trader expert advisor, you will be able to do your trading in your own comfort zone. Remember that forex does not close. Will you be able to monitor the market for 24 hours? That is why you will need an expert instructor to be your eyes when you are asleep. Various notifications in terms of entering or quitting a trade will be generated when there is a crossover identified in the market. Nowadays, notifications or alerts are made audibly and visually.

Stuart is writer of many websites and currently he enjoys writing on wide range of topics such as Expert Advisor and MultiTerminal. You may visit for more details.

What Is The Best Forex System Trading Program?

Friday, April 23rd, 2010

What is the best forex system trading available? Is there a “best” trading system? What kind of systems are there? What is a system anyway?

What System Trading Is

Before we can even start the search for the best forex system trading program available, we have to know what system trading is. Otherwise, how would you know what you’re looking for, and on what basis are you going to measure what you find?

What is system trading anyway?

System trading is the concept of having a preset of rules that defines as much of your trading as possible. These rules include the following areas of:

  • Entry Rules
  • Exit Rules
  • Portfolio Risk Rules (Money Management)
  • Compounding Rules
  • Scaling In/Out Rules
  • When Not To Trade Rules
  • And Other Criteria

By following predetermined rules, you don’t have to re-think each time a particular situation comes up in the markets. The idea of having rules is to remove as much trader discretion as possible to the point where trading can be automated.

Types of Systems

While there are various types of systems, they all fall into pretty much the same broad categories. These categories are:

  1. Trend Following Systems
  2. Counter-Trend Trading Systems

If you’ve already studied trading for some time, you’ll realize that each particular category has its own share of advantages and disadvantages.

There will be times when Trend Following Systems make huge profits because the markets are consistently trending. But the moment markets stop trending and start consolidating, then trend-following systems tend to get whipsawed, creating more losers than winners.

On the other hand, Counter-Trend Trading Systems experience more losers when markets are trending. This is because by nature, counter-trend trading systems attempt to pick tops and bottoms within consolidating markets. But when markets consolidate, counter-trend trading systems excel in making short term, quick profits in sometimes almost rapid succession.

Choosing A Forex System To Trade

Ultimately, there is NO BEST Forex System Trading Program. It depends on what you want to accomplish with your trading. If you already have a trend following system, you might want to diversify part of your trading capital into a counter-trend trading system, and vice versa.

The rule of thumb, again, is always manage your money with your eye on RISK first, before returns.

Wishing You Smart and Profitable Trading!

Ryan Lee Daniels
Smart Trading For Profits
The Forex Trading Education Blog Site

Metatrader 5

Tuesday, April 20th, 2010

Metatrader 5, the new version of the popular trading software will be released this fall. It is the successor of Metatrader 4 that is used by more than 300 brokers all over the world. The program is in development for more than 4 years, and the code for it is rewritten from scratch. Metatrader 5 will future high performance and outstanding working speed, over 70 analytical tools and new 21 timeframes, Depth of Market (DOM) feature, advanced built-in reports on all trading activities and much improved strategy tester for indicators and expert advisors.

One of the big improvements of Metatrader 5 is the ability to process traders Foreign Currency Transactions in various financial markets, including futures, options and stock markets. MetaTrader 5 Terminal supports also 4 types of operation execution: Market, Request, Instant and Exchange. In addition to Market Watch window, a so-called “Forex Glass” tool is added, which is necessary for successful work in the stock markets. With all new improvements and possibilities it is clear that MetaTrader 5 is more than just an MT4 upgrade.

MetaTrader 5 has a new integrated development environment called MQL5 which includes MetaEditor 5, the MQL5 programming language and MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester. It is responsible for the development and use of Expert Advisors, custom indicators and scripts. Unfortunately the MQL4 and MQL5 languages are not compatible. Because of that, every custom indicator and EA must be rewritten to work with Metatrader 5. The platform itself will also be not backward compatible with MT4 and MQL4, however, MetaQuotes can release a tool which converts the MQL4 source code to MQL5 or allows MQL4 executables to run in MT5 is some virtual environment.

The MQL5 language will have much faster execution speed in comparison with MQL4 (it approaches C++ in terms of this parameter), and will allow to use more complex experts and to process large amounts of the information. As compared to MQL4, the new language boasts up to 20 times faster execution speed. MQL5 includes new data types, a new structure, classes and, in this respect, the object-oriented programming which makes the development of EAs quicker, easier and more flexible, especially for autotrader developers. Because the language is more object-oriented, it will be also easier to learn. Another feature of MQL5 development environment is the aadvanced built-in debugger for testing and error finding and the intellisense system which speeds up the development process.

The MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester is a very powerful development tool and enables a developer to test a newly programmed indicator, expert advisor or script on historical data before using it in real trading. The new strategy tester will have advanced reporting options and possibilities to compare the trading results of different EA’s which each other. The tester will also better use the power of multi core processors to speed up the testing process.

Before Metatrader 5 will be released, a public beta testing is planned. It will begin 12 October. For more information, read: Metatrader 5 Public Beta

What Metatrader Programming Can Do For You

Thursday, April 15th, 2010

Most financial traders and organizations use Metatrader 4 in Forex trading. However, not all people are able to utilize the full power of the software through Metatrader programming. Are you looking for solutions to simplify your trading? Then these are some of the ways on how programming in Metatrader can help you:

Simplify your trading calculations. With accurate custom programs compiled through Metatrader programming, one can greatly simplify complex calculations required in order to succeed in Forex. Almost all the calculations you require can be handled by customized software. Whether in the form of custom indicators, scripts, or even expert advisors, these software offer solutions to minimize effort and ensure the execution of trading operations free from occasional human errors.

Ease of Use. With Metatrader programs, trading tasks have been made easier than ever before. Through the creation of customized software in Metatrader, one can expect faster executions of trading operations than manual trading. One can even assign hot keys to commonly used scripts, giving more freedom for the user to trade currencies as fast as he thinks.

Gain more knowledge of market trends. With strategy testing and optimization tools, one can gain an in-depth knowledge of current market trends. He may be able to know up to a certain degree which software are going to succeed in the charts, and what modifications can be done in order to improve them.

Refine your strategy. Not satisfied with currently existing trading programs? Metatrader can offer more to prospective traders who would like to formulate and develop their own trading systems. Programming in Metatrader is one of the ways for a Forex trader to exercise his creativity, modify existing programs to suit his needs, and look for better trading strategies and concepts.

Save time and resources. The usage of Metatrader programs allows better trading with less effort. Although a human trader can perform all of the tasks involved in Forex trading, most of them are quite repetitive and require less thinking. Why not let a software deal with time-consuming tasks, so the trader can make more use of his intellectual resources in making sound trading decisions? The combination of artificial intelligence and human intellect may prove to be a very successful collaboration-one to do the legwork and the other to monitor the profitability of trades. This gives the trader the opportunity to save time and resources that could otherwise be invested on other profitable or more pleasurable ventures.

If you are convinced of the benefits and advantages Metatrader programming can offer you, then you would have two options: either to study Metatrader programming, or have somebody program your trading ideas and turn them into software. Studying the Meta Query Language (MQL) needed in Metatrader programming would give one an edge against other traders who don’t know how to create programs for Forex. However, it requires both time and effort. If you are the type who would rather prefer to focus on trading and let the others do the technical aspects of Metatrader, then using the services of a programmer or a software company may be a better option.

Partially automate your trading. Get metatrader programming, mt4, mql4 and mql services in an affordable range.

Online Foreign Currency Exchange Tips For Beginners

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

To learn about online foreign currency exchange, beginners would usually go online to look for information. The basics that all beginners should know is that there are a few major currency pairs that being traded, namely the United States Dollars (USD), Japanese Yen (JPY), Great Britain Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollars (CAD), Aussie Dollars (AUD), European Dollars (EUR) and others. These currencies are usually traded in pairs, where you buy one and sell the other currencies e.g. you will trade USD/JPY, EUR/JPY or EUR/USD.

In addition to knowing which major currency pairs are traded, beginners will also need to identify which forex broker to register with and what trading platform to use. It is always good to register with a regulated forex broker as they are more reliable.

For those who are lucky enough, forex course are offered at the vicinity of their home. For those who are thinking, or have decided, to sign up for one of these forex training courses, I would advise you to attend their preview first and get a feel of what these currency trading seminar offers.

I have summarized a list of must-haves that a good forex course should have. These would help you to identify and sign up for a good foreign currency exchange seminar.

1. Forex coach and mentor with weekly trade reviews. This will ensure you receive consistent coaching and gets you familiar with the strategies you have learned at the forex course.

2. Support from the company that will provide regular updates of the forex industry. The foreign exchange market is dynamic and changes with time. Regular updates by the company you sign up with will ensure you are kept abreast with the latest changes and regulation in the forex world.

3. Assist you in identifying a good broker to trade with. Before attempting to go online trading forex, you must identify a good, reliable and regulated forex brokers. Your trainers must be able to help you identifying one.

4. Assist and guide you in opening a forex demo account. Before trading with your real money, also known as going live, it is always good to start with a demo account. A forex demo account functions like your real account, only it doesn’t use real money! With a demo account, it will help you get familiarized with the trading platform that you are using, the trading strategies you have learned and most importantly, how to execute a trade. Make you put in a sale trade when you want to sell and not buy! You can make as many “mistakes” you want in a demo account and learned from it so as not to repeat it in your live account.

5. Assist and guide you in opening a live account. Opening a live account will require additional steps such as validating that you are the genuine owner as well as sending in funds to your account before you can start trading with real money.

Register for a free forex course worth $48, which reveals the strategies to successful forex trading.

Vivienne trades forex online after attending a forex course that teaches her multiple trading strategies. she now trades and earns consistent profits at the comfort of her home. You, too can succeed in trading forex within a short period of time. http://www.firstforexacademy.com.

Vivienne T - EzineArticles Expert Author

Why Trade Forex Rather Than Equities Or Stocks in 2010?

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

The Forex market is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of over $3 trillion a day. This a huge amount of volume of business transactions which is technically called liquidity.

To give you some kind of scale to the Forex market as it is today, if you compare this figure to NYSE (the new york stock exchange), which trades around $28 billion a day and also realise that this figure is about three times larger than all the stock markets in the world combined, you will get the idea of how very, very liquid this market is! This massive market is advantageous when trading as the brokers can offer more favourable conditions, which are explained later and illiquid markets tend to be more erratic.

In Forex, there are many currency pairs to choose to focus on. There are two currencies in every pair. For example, EUR/USD; EUR is the base currency and USD is the terms currency. The base currency is always equal to One and it is the second or terms currency, that moves. Therefore, If Eurodollar was trading at 1.4300 this means 1 Euro is worth 1.4300 US Dollars.

As a beginner it is often easier to focus on the major currencies, then the minor currencies and to avoid the cross-currencies/ triangulated currencies until you are more experienced ie. currencies that do not show the US dollar involvement in its name eg. EUR/GBP

Another benefit to the trader with this form of trading is there is also no central Market Place: trading starts in Sydney to Tokyo to London to New York. So it does not actually close ie. its a 24 hour market and is always open giving you the change to trade the full 24 hour cycle.

Due to the fact that Forex is trading economies not companies, it is easy to see what news is influencing the movements (which is not so easy to see with equities!) and the information is easily accessible so there is good transparency and also makes it a trade-able News Market.

The brokers, due to the high liquidity with Forex, also offer competitive tight spreads ( a small difference between the buy and sell price); and lots of leverage. Leverage means that a large return can be obtained from a relatively small outlay with risk attached.

Common fixed spreads on Fx are: EURUSD= 2 points GBPUSD= 3 points

If entering a stop loss with Forex trading, almost all stops are guaranteed. A stop loss is the price you may choose to close the trade to limit your losses if the trade moves against you. There are also two main Fx trading accounts to be aware of:

1. Direct Fx trading- traded in Lots (1 Lot = the equivalent to $10/point or 1 futures contact)

2. Spread betting- which is far more common and attractive option with a smaller account as spread-betting has the advantage that you can trade with much smaller amounts of capital, there are no commissions and it is tax free!

This seems like a lot of information to the beginner but there are real advantages to trading Forex that other markets do not offer. Good luck and hang on to your shirt tails before you enter the market place!

David Marshall is a trader who offers information on best trading practices, success mindsets and the best technology to create success at trading. He manages fxonlinetrading.net.

Want more great information on fx online trading? Just visit our site, http://fxonlinetrading.net

What Influences Forex Prices?

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

Foreign exchange rates influence the fundamental situation of other markets. In general they reflect the strength or weakness of a particular economy. There are certain factors that directly influence forex prices. These factors generally fall into three categories: economic factors, political conditions and market psychology. Economic factors include economic policy of that particular country circulated by government agencies and central banks, economic conditions prevailing in that country and other economic indicators. The market usually reacts negatively to expanding government budget deficits, and positively to reduction in the budget deficits. The trade flow between a set of countries illustrates the demand for goods and services that also indicates demand for a country’s currency to conduct trade. Any currency loses value if there is a high level of inflation in the country. The gross domestic product (GDP), employment levels, retail sales, capacity utilization etc. denotes the level of a country’s economic growth and health.

Internal, regional, and international political conditions and events of any particular country can have a profound effect on the forex prices. Market psychology and trader perceptions influence the forex prices in different ways, unsettling international events can lead to a greater demand, thus a higher price, for currencies considered as stronger over their relatively weaker counterparts. Beside these there are some other factors also, that influence the forex prices.

Interest rates play a major role when the idea of evaluating one currency against another comes in to play. The interest rate determines the capacity of earning for a particular currency. Inflation influences the interest rates greatly. If interest rates of country are rising because of a healthy economic growth that is a positive sign for the currency. It has to be kept always in mind that the value of a particular currency always reflects its buying power. The forex market came into the existence to facilitate trade only, and trade is a major factor in the determination of the value of a particular currency. More demand of the goods means higher values for that currency. This influence forces the forex dealers keep a close watch on the international trade data. Capital flows indicate the investment of capital in that country. Investment also works on the same pattern as trade. If a country receives a lot of investment its currency would be in great demand. The forex dealers look at the capital flows in the same way as they look at the trade data.

The US Dollar is always treated as a reserve currency internationally; other countries keep a healthy supply of Dollars on hand as a precaution against any future adversity. This always propels the demand for the Dollar as all of the major global commodities like oil and gold are denominated in Dollars. Any country buying such commodities has to exchange their own currency for Dollars in the first place to make a purchase; this always increases the demand for the Dollar.

Looking at one country or currency is not enough for any dealer because a currency is always valued and traded against an array of other currencies having their own sets of considerations. Although exchange rates are affected by many factors, in the end, currency prices are a result of supply and demand forces. If the supply of any currency shows the shortage in the forex market then the prices for the same would rise on the other hand if the supply is in a very healthy condition and the demand is very low for that currency then the prices for that currency bound to fall. This is the major conclusion of all above and the forex dealers keep a cautious eye on this fact patiently.

The latest foreign exchange and currency information for investors, traders and travelers. Forex Invest [http://www.forexinvest.com.au/home.html] features; online foreign currency trading platform, currency payments, Forex info and more! Sign up now! [http://www.forexinvest.com.au/members/sitemembers/signup]

Want to Learn Technical Analysis of Forex?

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

Are you looking for a way to learn about the foreign exchange technical analysis?  There is some great tips to get you started.  By learning to spot and find the prevailing trends.  You start with long term charts that go back several years.  The long term charts can tell you what the currency pairs have been doing over the long periods of time.  The data can also tell you what indicators have proven reliable in the past.

Prevailing trends can be easily found in the charts. The graphs will show you the direction the currency is currently going. Also you will be able to see where it has been historically. To research the long-term trend of a nation’s currency you will need to take a look at graphs showing two year trends. You can clearly see whether a nation is more up or down during the period and you can see how often the trends change.

With a little study of the long term and short term charts, you can determine the path that the currency is going. When you are able to pinpoint the prevailing trend, you can determine the short term trends and long term trends.  The long term trend will be show the path of the currency and will typically the rise and fall.

Find the ceiling and floor points on the graph. These are the resistance and support levels which show the price range for the currency pair.  By looking at the points where the price has not broken through and note how often it has hit that particular price. It will give you an idea of how strong the resistance and support are for the currency pair.

By drawing a line to join the points on the chart for resistance and price for the support shows the trend. This will make clear the path of the currency pair and give you an idea where the future prices are going.

More often than not, the currency pair is within a range that is hard to break out of, which happens about 80 percent of the time. The resistance and support tend to be strong making it difficult to make a profit.

These currency pairs will be day traded for just a few pips as the currency pair bounces back and forth along the support and resistance lines.

This is one thing you look for a currency pair make a break out from the channel range and then gain momentum on the fall back. This more often than not could be a sign that a trend reversal is about to take place.

Dave Nettles runs his home business full-time from his home is sunny South Florida. His also the publisher of http://www.whatisforeignexchangetrading.com sharing a wealth of experience in foreign exchange trading.

Technical Analysis Explained – Trading Congestion Action Part I

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

We speak here of congestion action trading.

A market in congestion action is a market that oscillates back and forth between the confines of congestion, between support and resistance (or, in Drummond Geometry terms, between the dotted line and the block level). It is market action that occurs within congestion itself, and when there is no trend run. The Dotted Line is the level created by the highest high of the preceding up trend, or the lowest low created by the preceding down trend. The first Block Level is the low of the first bar that closes on the opposite side of the PLdot in a uptrend, or the high of the first bar that closes on the other side of the PL Dot in a down trend.

Once you have a sufficient understanding of the theory, characteristics, and patterns of congestion action trading, you can make a lot of money in this type of market. It is like harvesting a crop, or slaughtering the fatted calf. Congestion action trading can be real bread-and-butter trading….and what’s more, you can buy the table to hold the bread, and the house to hold the table, and the estate to hold the house, and the car, the driver, and the boat, and the plane, and all the other toys or essentials you may or may not desire. In short, congestion action trading holds a lot of potential for you, if you learn and apply all that is to lean about congestion action trading.

What is congestion action trading?

One result of technical analysis explained this way through Drummond Geometry is that the definitions are clear. Price is either in a trend run or it is not. It is not is a trend run when after three or more closes on one side of the PL Dot it closes on the other side of the PLdot And when the market is not in a trend run, then it is in congestion. Simple, and clear.

That first bar when price closes on the opposite side of the trending dot is the congestion entrance bar. We can say that by definition the market is then in congestion. We know when the market first enters congestion this creates a dotted line and a block level. This block level is the first block level of the congestion. Thus, congestion action is the name for that market action which starts with a congestion entrance bar and continues for an indefinite period of time until we see three closes on one side of the PLdot, which marks the start of a new trend.

Now let’s look at the way the limits of congestion are defined, and how they can expand.

Congestion action defines the parameters of congestion, also called the confines of congestion.

You will remember that the confines of congestion are defined by the dotted line and the block level, and that the first block level is established by the congestion entrance bar.

But these levels can be expanded. If prices goes outside the dotted line, or outside of the block level, while still in congestion (that is, without showing three closes on one side of the PL Dot), then price is redefining the confines of congestion and we can see a larger congestion area established. This can continue several times until a new trend run appears.

We will continue this discussion about congestion trading in our next article in the technical analysis explained series.

Ted Hearne is a Forex and bond trader who has written extensively about trading and has co-authored a “technical analysis explained” course called “Drummond Geometry”. His biography and further information about his work can be found at the technical analysis explained website.